Match Info

Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 24

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Jenner Park (Barry)

Referee: Markham-Jones B. (Wal)


	Barry Town United		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.5	2.88
	2.22	3.6	3.11
	2.18	3.6	3.05	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.2	3.48	3.06
	2.16	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	3.03 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barry Town United
42.7%

Draw
26.6%

Colwyn Bay
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Barry Town United - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 23. Barton D. 6. Davies K. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 9. Owen I. 8. Richards E. 24. Richards W. 21. Williams E. 7. Willmott R.	51. Brown A. (G) 9. Davies J. 23. Edwards A. 6. Forde S. 19. Hill M. 24. Hughes G. 12. Moore A. 4. Peate N. 11. Roberts E. 10. Robles L. 5. Sirrell L.
Substitutes
19. Bernard J. 17. Cuddihy O. 35. Masrani L. (G) 16. Norris J. 38. Patten K. 14. Smith D. 15. Wharton T.	21. Astles R. 7. Cumming J. 3. Hart S. 45. Murphy L. (G) 14. Williams A. 20. Williams A.
Coaches
Jenkins S.	Wilde M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Peate N. ⚽,
64', Barton D. ↓, Wharton T. ↑,
64', Richards E. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
64', Williams E. ↓, Cuddihy O. ↑,
72', 🟨,
72', Davies J. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
72', Hill M. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
75', Owen I. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
85', Richards W. ↓, Norris J. ↑,
86', Edwards A. ↓, Cumming J. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, Barry Town has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Colwyn Bay: 1.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Barry	12	8	1	3	27:20	7	25
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	21:15	6	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barry Town United
Welsh FA Cup
31.01.26	Rhyl - Barry Town United	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
24.01.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	Barry Town United - Llanelli	5:1 ✺
03.01.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United	3:1 ✺
31.12.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh FA Cup
31.01.26	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	4:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
24.01.26	Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay	2:2 ✺
13.01.26	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Colwyn Bay - Flint Town United	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
01.11.25	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	1:4
16.08.25	Barry Town United - Colwyn Bay	1:1
21.04.24	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	1:0
09.03.24	Barry Town United - Colwyn Bay	1:1
Welsh FA Cup
16.12.23	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	2:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.10.23	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	0:1
19.08.23	Barry Town United - Colwyn Bay	1:1

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