Match Info

Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Essity Stadium (Flint)

Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)


	Gap Connahs Quay		Barry Town United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.15
	2.21	3.55	3.07
	2.11	3.53	3.28	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.06	3.28	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.71)	3.43 ↓ (3.95)	3.13 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gap Connahs Quay
43.5%

Draw
26.9%

Barry Town United
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

23.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

24.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gap Connahs Quay's form might have worsened.

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Connahs Quay will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Berry R. (G) 11. Bratley C. 26. Cook J. 14. Edwards N. 12. Franklin H. 21. Fregapane M. 28. Jones J. (C) 27. Redshaw F. 4. Roberts D. 8. West C. 18. Woodcock M.	31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 23. Barton D. 17. Cuddihy O. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 9. Owen I. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. 21. Williams E. 7. Willmott R.
Substitutes
33. Bennett J. 32. Hughes J. 17. Hughes R. 68. Liepa D. (G) 9. Oswell J. 34. Partridge C. 37. Waterhouse J.	19. Bernard J. 16. Beynon J. 50. Case J. M. 32. Norris J. 14. Smith D. 1. Thomas J. (G)
Coaches
Disney J.	Legg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Cuddihy O. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Owen I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Bratley C. 🟨,
68', Bratley C. ↓, Partridge C. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Woodcock M. ⚽,
73', Fregapane M. ↓, Bennett J. ↑,
76', Owen I. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
81', Redshaw F. ↓, Hughes J. ↑,
81', Woodcock M. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
86', Sainty C. 🟨,
87', Barton D. ↓, Norris J. ↑,

Preview

Connahs Quay is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

Barry Town is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 2.

Recent performances by Connahs Quay have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barry Town is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Connahs Quay is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Connahs Q.: 3.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Barry	12	8	1	3	27:20	7	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Caernarfon Town - Gap Connahs Quay	2:4 ✺
03.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLT
- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.03.26	Barry Town United - Caernarfon Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
28.02.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.02.26	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
21.02.26	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0
03.01.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United	3:1
27.09.25	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0
13.04.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United	0:2
22.02.25	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2
09.11.24	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	3:2
07.09.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United	1:2

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