The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barry Town United 46.7%
Draw 27.3%
Llandudno 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
25.7%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
24.7%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Llandudno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llandudno than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Barry Town United - Llandudno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 8. Barton D. 7. Daley N. 20. Dugan E. 2. George M. 16. Lester J. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. (C) 21. Shaw J. 15. Wharton T. 3. Williams E.
1. Torrance J. (G) 4. Cartwright I. 52. Flint N. 15. Grogan N. 29. Higgins L. 7. Lloyd K. 16. Maher B. 12. Morris C. 18. Smith K. 2. Stephens C. 5. Stephens T.
Substitutes
19. Bernard J. 9. Crosbie J. 18. Jackson C. 11. Schwank R. 14. Smith D.
8. Cadwallader M. 17. Faux J. 51. Fisher J. (G) 28. Hughes L. 20. Pownall J. 6. Weaver R. 22. Williams M.
Coaches
Legg A.
Hadaway J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Dugan E. (Penalty Awarded),
13', 2 - 0, Daley N. ⚽,
15', Stephens T. 🟨,
26', Cartwright I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Barton D. ⚽,
55', Maher B. ↓, Cadwallader M. ↑,
64', Shaw J. 🟨,
68', Richards W. 🟨,
68', 3 - 1, Cadwallader M. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
72', Higgins L. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
74', Morris C. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
77', Stephens T. ↓, Faux J. ↑,
82', Daley N. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
88', Lloyd K. 🟨,
90', Wharton T. 🟨,
90+2', Smith K. 🟨,
90+2', Smith K. 🟥,
90+8', 4 - 1, Williams E. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 4.
Barry Town is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Llandudno's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Barry Town could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).