Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni (Posadas)


	Bartolomé Mitre		Costa Brava

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.9
	1.98	2.88	3.9
	1.97	2.82	3.91
	2.42	2.43	3.99	Watch
	2.08	2.88	3.7
	1.81	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)	2.93 ↓ (3.32)	3.9 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bartolomé Mitre
45.4%

Draw
31.2%

Costa Brava
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

26.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bartolomé Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Bartolomé Mitre - Costa Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bachke G. (G) 4. Barrientos M. 8. Brizuela A. 5. Espindola M. 2. Medeiro E. 3. Medina M. 7. Melgarejo G. 9. Mercado E. 10. Morales L. 6. Rodriguez R. 11. Valsangiacomo I.	1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 5. Alles A. 9. Gutierrez J. 10. Ibarra L. 3. Lara M. 8. Noriega B. 11. Rivas M. 4. Velasco L. 7. Vivani J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Espindola M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟥,
87', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Bartolomé Mitre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Costa Brava has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bartolomé Mitre is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Bartolomé Mitre	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Bartolomé Mitre - El Linqueño	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Ben Hur	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL
- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Costa Brava - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Costa Brava	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Costa Brava - Cipolletti	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLTL

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