Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.25	2.32
	2.26	3.70	2.74	Watch
	2.66	3.35	2.28
	2.45	3.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.26)	3.43 ↓ (3.7)	2.48 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
36.4%

Draw
26.7%

Banbury United
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Banbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvechurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Alvechurch - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Ball G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 2, Ferguson C. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Alvechurch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alvechurch won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Alvechurch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
18.11.25	Halesowen Town - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Alvechurch - Real Bedford	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
08.11.25	Harborough Town - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Alvechurch - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Alvechurch - Worcester City	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
18.11.25	Banbury United - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Banbury United - Quorn	3:2 ✺
10.11.25	St Ives Town - Banbury United	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bishops Stortford - Banbury United	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	Bury Town - Banbury United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.02.25	Banbury United - Alvechurch	0:0
26.08.24	Alvechurch - Banbury United	0:1
18.04.22	Banbury United - Alvechurch	2:1
01.01.22	Alvechurch - Banbury United	0:2
23.11.19	Banbury United - Alvechurch	2:1
22.04.19	Alvechurch - Banbury United	1:1
01.01.19	Banbury United - Alvechurch	3:1

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