Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Bury Town		Barwell

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.72
	2.36	3.51	2.77	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.33	3.2	2.78
	2.3	3.5	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.37)	3.3 ↓ (3.51)	2.75 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
39.3%

Draw
27.6%

Barwell
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Bury Town - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Canfer O. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, McGrath J. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Davis M. ⚽,
45+5', 4 - 0, Canfer O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 14).

Bury Town is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barwell's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Barwell - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.38%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
29.11.25	Bury Town - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Spalding United - Bury Town	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Bishops Stortford - Bury Town	0:0 ✺
18.11.25	Bury Town - Real Bedford	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Redditch United - Bury Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
29.11.25	Barwell - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Royston Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
17.11.25	Barwell - Stratford Town	5:2 ✺
15.11.25	Barwell - Worcester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTWL

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