Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Barwell		Biggleswade Town

	1	X	2
	1.35	5	6
	1.39	4.8	5.8
	1.44	5.07	5.83
	1.39	4.55	6.26
	1.39	4.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	4.84 ↑ (3.96)	5.94 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
65.7%

Draw
18.9%

Biggleswade Town
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barwell's performance.

Biggleswade Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Barwell - Biggleswade Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Hickey B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 2 - 0, Hickey B. ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, Hickey B. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Biggleswade Town is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barwell won 2.

Recent matches Barwell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Biggleswade Town is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barwell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Biggleswade Town have a series of home games.

In this match Barwell is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Barwell won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Barwell won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	AFC Telford United - Barwell	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Barwell - St Ives Town	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Leiston - Barwell	3:4 ✺
08.03.25	Barwell - Stamford	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Barwell - Bishops Stortford	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWLW
- Biggleswade Town
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Bishops Stortford	2:3 ✺
25.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Lowestoft Town	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Stratford Town - Biggleswade Town	1:0 ✺
18.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Spalding United	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.08.24	Biggleswade Town - Barwell	2:2
29.01.22	Barwell - Biggleswade Town	1:0
09.10.21	Biggleswade Town - Barwell	7:0
24.08.19	Barwell - Biggleswade Town	3:1
30.03.19	Biggleswade Town - Barwell	1:1
15.09.18	Barwell - Biggleswade Town	0:0

Barwell - Biggleswade Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide