Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Barwell		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.6	2
	3.22	3.62	1.91
	3.31	3.88	1.96	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	2.92	3.58	2.09
	2.28	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.4)	3.6 ↓ (3.8)	2.04 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
30.7%

Draw
25%

Bishops Stortford
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

24%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

23%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barwell's form might have worsened.

Bishops Stortford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bishops Stortford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barwell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barwell - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Onyeagwara O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Jarvis D. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Jarvis D. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Hakeem Z. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Barwell is Relegated to

Barwell has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bishops Stortford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Bishops Stortford has had a series of away games.

Bishops Stortford could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Barwell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bishop's Stortford	9	3	1	5	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Barwell - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Bishops Stortford - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Barwell - Bury Town	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Needham Market - Barwell	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Barwell - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Alvechurch - Barwell	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Barwell - Kettering Town	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bishops Stortford
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Harborough Town - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Stourbridge - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Real Bedford - Bishops Stortford	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Bishops Stortford - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stamford - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Bishops Stortford - Barwell	2:1
01.03.25	Barwell - Bishops Stortford	4:1
23.11.24	Bishops Stortford - Barwell	1:0

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