Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Barwell

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.35	2.78
	2.29	3.32	2.88
	2.24	3.71	2.83	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.24	3.26	2.87
	2.28	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)	3.33 ↓ (3.82)	2.84 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
40.5%

Draw
27.4%

Barwell
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

24.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, Shaw B. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 16)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bromsgrove won 4.

Bromsgrove is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Barwell has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barwell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bromsgrove has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bromsgrove won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bromsgrove won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21:11	10	27

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bromsgrove: 5.67%

Last Results with these Odds

Bromsgrove Sporting - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Barwell - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
20.01.26	Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Bury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Halesowen Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bishops Stortford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTL
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
17.01.26	Barwell - Real Bedford	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Spalding United - Barwell	3:0 ✺
27.12.25	Barwell - Quorn	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	St Ives Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Barwell - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:3
English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2
24.02.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3
16.11.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	3:0
27.04.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	0:1
18.11.23	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1
15.04.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	2:0

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