Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 24

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Barwell		Quorn

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.5	2.05
	2.89	3.84	2.16	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.9	3.52	2.12
	2.85	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	3.53 ↓ (3.67)	2.14 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
31.6%

Draw
25.8%

Quorn
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

24.6%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Quorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quorn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barwell - Quorn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Cobourne S. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Goodson Z. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Richards K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Barwell has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Quorn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Quorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Quorn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barwell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
20.12.25	St Ives Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Barwell - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bishops Stortford - Barwell	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bury Town - Barwell	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Barwell - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLT
- Quorn
English Southern League Central Division
20.12.25	Quorn - Worcester City	2:4 ✺
09.12.25	Quorn - Redditch United	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Needham Market - Quorn	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Quorn - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Quorn	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	Quorn - Barwell	0:1

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