Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Barwell		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.95	1.32
	6.09	4.72	1.4
	7.01	5.26	1.36	Watch
	6	4.6	1.33
	7.14	4.6	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↑ (6.23)	4.83 ↑ (4.68)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
13.8%

Draw
18.8%

Spalding United
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

19.6%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

18.8%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+1%)

Barwell - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Fowkes B. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Ceesay Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Barwell has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Spalding has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Spalding is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Spalding will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.7:4).

Including home match between the teams, Barwell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
03.04.26	Alvechurch - Barwell	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Barwell - Kettering Town	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Barwell - Sudbury Town	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Worcester City - Barwell	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Barwell - Royston Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
03.04.26	Spalding United - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Spalding United - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	St Ives Town - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Spalding United - Halesowen Town	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Needham Market - Spalding United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
03.01.26	Spalding United - Barwell	3:0
26.04.25	Barwell - Spalding United	1:7
07.12.24	Spalding United - Barwell	2:1

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