Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Basconia		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.85
	3.15	3.05	1.98
	4.02	3.36	1.76
	4.25	3.18	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (3.82)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
23.6%

Draw
28.1%

Barakaldo
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

25.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Basconia - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Basconia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.01.23	Deusto - Basconia	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Basconia - Touring KE	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Basconia	0:1 ✺
07.01.23	Durango - Basconia	2:3 ✺
17.12.22	Basconia - Padura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
29.01.23	Barakaldo - Lagun Onak	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Urduliz - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Barakaldo - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:0 ✺
07.01.23	Deusto - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
17.12.22	Barakaldo - Touring KE	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.10.22	Barakaldo - Basconia	0:0
09.01.22	Basconia - Barakaldo	0:0

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