Match Info

Date: 27 February 2020, Thursday


	Basel		APOEL

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	5
	1.72	3.75	5
	1.73	3.8	5
	1.68	3.63	4.74
	1.71	3.86	4.89
	1.7	3.7	5
	1.77	3.92	4.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)	3.75 ↑ (3.72)	4.94 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
55.4%

Draw
25.4%

APOEL
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

25.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

21%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for APOEL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	3.1%	12.5%

Basel - APOEL Predictions

Users Predictions: Basel will win (81 of 96 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
23.02.20	Basel - Servette	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	APOEL - Basel	0:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
15.02.20	Basel - Thun	0:1 ✺
08.02.20	Zürich - Basel	0:4 ✺
02.02.20	Basel - St. Gallen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLWL
- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
23.02.20	Paphos - APOEL	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	APOEL - Basel	0:3 ✺
Cypriot First Division
15.02.20	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	4:1 ✺
08.02.20	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0 ✺
05.02.20	APOEL - Anorthosis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.02.20	APOEL - Basel	0:3

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