Match Info

Super League - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Kybunpark (St. Gallen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	St. Gallen		Basel

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.75	3.1
	2	3.65	3.25
	1.97	4.03	3.62
	1.99	3.95	3.38	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.3
	1.9	3.69	3.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.16)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	3.43 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Gallen
47.7%

Draw
24.9%

Basel
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

24.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

23.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	33.3%	6.7%

St. Gallen - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Basel will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Gallen (votes: 2 - 40%). Basel (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 26. Gaal T. 4. Stanic J. 36. Okoroji C. 28. Vandermersch H. 16. Gortler L. (C) 10. Daschner L. 11. Boukhalfa C. 7. Witzig C. 18. Vogt A. 69. Besio D.	1. Hitz M. (C) 27. Ruegg K. 4. Omeragic B. 3. Vouilloz N. 29. Cisse M. 22. Leroy L. 14. Bacanin A. 18. Duranville J. 5. Metinho 11. Traore B. 37. Koloto G.
Substitutes
21. Efekele M. 3. Kleine-Bekel C. 63. Konietzke C. 72. May C. 77. Ouattara T. 74. Ruiz J. 70. Scherrer N. 64. Stevanovic M. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)	23. Ajeti Al. 43. Akahomen M. 17. Broschinski M. 28. Kacuri D. 21. Salah I. 13. Salvi M. (G) 31. Schmid D. 19. Soticek M. 25. van Breemen F.
Coaches
Maassen E.	Lichtsteiner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Okoroji C. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Okoroji C. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Boukhalfa C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cisse M. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
46', Traore B. ↓, Schmid D. ↑,
58', Koloto G. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
58', Leroy L. ↓, Kacuri D. ↑,
61', Stanic J. 🟨,
63', Vogt A. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
73', Besio D. ↓, Scherrer N. ↑,
73', Stanic J. ↓, Kleine-Bekel C. ↑,
73', Gortler L. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
73', Duranville J. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
76', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Konietzke C. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 2.

St. Gallen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Basel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

St. Gallen might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in St. Gallen: Balde A. (Yellow Cards) Buttiker P. (Injury) Dumrath B. (Back Injury) Fazliji B. (Knee Injury) Neziri B. (Knee Injury) Owusu E. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Basel: Daniliuc F. (Injury) Koindredi K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Basel: Soticek M. (Inactive) Tsunemoto K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Basel	9	4	1	4	17:17	0	13
7	St. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16:19	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

St. Gallen - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.06%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
05.03.26	Thun - St. Gallen	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	St. Gallen - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Servette - St. Gallen	1:1 ✺
18.02.26	Winterthur - St. Gallen	1:5 ✺
14.02.26	St. Gallen - Grasshoppers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWT
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
05.03.26	Basel - Grasshoppers	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Lausanne-Sport - Basel	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Luzern - Basel	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Basel - Lugano	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Sion - Basel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Cup
04.02.26	St. Gallen - Basel	2:1
Swiss Super League
30.11.25	Basel - St. Gallen	0:0
26.07.25	St. Gallen - Basel	2:1
22.02.25	St. Gallen - Basel	2:2
08.12.24	St. Gallen - Basel	1:1
20.10.24	Basel - St. Gallen	2:1
11.02.24	Basel - St. Gallen	1:0

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