Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 15
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, WOW
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Connect
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 19
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Basel		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.9	3.5
	1.93	3.5	3.9
	2	4	3.5
	2.02	3.94	3.5
	2.11	3.86	3.18	Watch
	2	3.6	3.25
	2	3.99	3.58
	2.08	3.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)	3.82 ↑ (3.54)	3.46 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
47.4%

Draw
25%

Viktoria Plzeň
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Basel aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	9.8%	21.6%

Basel - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 35 - 68.6%). Plzeň will win (votes: 11 - 21.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 55.9% – 81.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Plzeň (2.46) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Basel (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Plzeň (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Plzeň (votes: 4 - 19%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hitz M. (G) 27. Ruegg K. 32. Adjetey J. 24. Daniliuc F. 31. Schmid D. 28. Kacuri D. 8. Koindredi K. 11. Traore B. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 7. Otele P. 23. Ajeti Al.	44. Wiegele F. (G) 14. Doski M. 40. Dweh S. 21. Jemelka V. 19. Souare C. 32. Valenta M. 6. Cerv L. (C) 5. Spacil K. 99. Memic A. 18. Ladra T. 20. Panos J.
Substitutes
9. Agbonifo J. 43. Akahomen M. 14. Bacanin A. 29. Cisse M. 22. Leroy L. 47. Pfeiffer T. (G) 40. Rexhaj A. 21. Salah I. 13. Salvi M. (G) 19. Soticek M. 3. Vouilloz N.	4. Chalupa J. 7. Kabongo C. 34. Kubin P. 33. Novak A. 15. Silhavy M. (G) 12. Suchy D. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 9. Visinsky D. 85. Zeljkovic A.
Coaches
Lichtsteiner S.	Hysky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Adjetey J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Panos J. ⚽, Doski M. (A),
43', Ruegg K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hitz M. ↓, Salvi M. ↑,
57', Koindredi K. ↓, Leroy L. ↑,
57', Traore B. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
64', Panos J. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
64', Schmid D. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
68', Dweh S. 🟨,
79', Otele P. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
79', Valenta M. ↓, Kabongo C. ↑,
90+3', Memic A. 🟨,
90+4', Souare C. ↓, Novak A. ↑,

Preview

Basel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Plzeň is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Basel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Basel: Broschinski M. (Knee Injury) Metinho (Injury) Tsunemoto K. (Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Adu P. (Health problems) Hejda L. (Inactive) Hrosovsky P. (Inactive) Kadlec A. (Inactive) Kopic J. (Knee Injury) Krcik D. (Inactive) Paluska J. (Surgery) Sloncik T. (Inactive) Sojka A. (Inactive) Tapaj D. (Inactive) Vasulin D. (Inactive) Vydra M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Basel: Kaio Eduardo (Injury) Salah I. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Basel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Plzen: 0.52%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

Last Results with these Odds

Basel - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 48.77%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
25.01.26	Zürich - Basel	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Basel	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
18.01.26	Basel - Sion	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Slavia Prague - Basel	3:4 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.12.25	Basel - Servette	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTWT
- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Porto	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - SønderjyskE	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Lugano - Viktoria Plzeň	2:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.12.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.01.18	Basel - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2

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