Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Viktoria Plzeň		Porto

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.67
	5	4	1.7
	3.25	3.55	2.04
	4.76	3.77	1.75	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.67
	5.38	3.84	1.71
	5	3.75	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.48)	3.75 ↑ (3.42)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
20%

Draw
25.5%

Porto
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.6%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viktoria Plzeň's form might have worsened.

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	9.9%	83.1%

Viktoria Plzeň - Porto Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Porto (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Porto (1.87) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Plzeň (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Plzeň (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (56 of 68 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.29% – 91.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Porto (votes: 36 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wiegele F. (G) 14. Doski M. 5. Spacil K. 19. Souare C. 99. Memic A. 32. Valenta M. 6. Cerv L. 9. Visinsky D. 18. Ladra T. 7. Kabongo C. 11. Vydra M. (C)	99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 52. Fernandes M. 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 86. Mora R. 7. William Gomes 9. Samu 17. Sainz B.
Substitutes
80. Adu P. 4. Chalupa J. 24. Havel M. 34. Kubin P. 33. Novak A. 20. Panos J. 15. Silhavy M. (G) 12. Suchy D. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 85. Zeljkovic A.	73. Bras G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 24. Costa J. (G) 6. Eustaquio S. 27. Gul D. 72. Miranda A. 74. Moura F. 11. Pepê 21. Prpic D. 22. Varela A. 10. Veiga G. 12. Zaidu
Coaches
Hysky M.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cerv L. ⚽, Valenta M. (A),
14', Doski M. 🟨,
34', Kabongo C. ↓, Adu P. ↑,
45+4', Vydra M. 🟥,
45+5', Samu (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sainz B. ↓, Pepê ↑,
56', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
56', Costa A. ↓, Moura F. ↑,
60', Visinsky D. ↓, Havel M. ↑,
70', Bednarek J. 🟨,
71', William Gomes ↓, Gul D. ↑,
71', Fernandes M. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
72', Adu P. 🟨,
74', Rosario P. 🟨,
83', Ladra T. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
85', Kiwior J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Gul D. ⚽, Kiwior J. (A),

Preview

Plzeň is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Porto is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Porto is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Dweh S. (Yellow Cards) Hejda L. (Inactive) Hrosovsky P. (Inactive) Jemelka V. (Red Card) Kadlec A. (Inactive) Kopic J. (Knee Injury) Krcik D. (Inactive) Paluska J. (Surgery) Sloncik T. (Inactive) Sojka A. (Inactive) Tapaj D. (Inactive) Vasulin D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Perez T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pietuszewski O. (Inactive) Thiago Silva (Inactive) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Plzen: 0.66%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - SønderjyskE	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Lugano - Viktoria Plzeň	2:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.12.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Porto - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.01.26	Santa Clara - Porto	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Porto - AVS	2:0 ✺
22.12.25	Alverca - Porto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

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