Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 5
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Kenya	20:45	Gotv
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Macao	01:45	TDM TV
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Action
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV5
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	01:45	beIN Connect
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	VIX App


	Viktoria Plzeň		Porto

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.67
	5	4	1.7
	3.25	3.55	2.04
	4.76	3.77	1.75	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.67
	5.38	3.84	1.71
	5	3.75	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.48)	3.75 ↑ (3.42)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
20%

Draw
25.5%

Porto
54.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.6%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

28.1%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viktoria Plzeň's form might have worsened.

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7%	9.9%	83.1%

Viktoria Plzeň - Porto Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Porto (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Porto (1.87) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Plzeň (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Plzeň (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (56 of 68 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.29% – 91.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Porto (votes: 36 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wiegele F. (G) 14. Doski M. 5. Spacil K. 19. Souare C. 99. Memic A. 32. Valenta M. 6. Cerv L. 9. Visinsky D. 18. Ladra T. 7. Kabongo C. 11. Vydra M. (C)	99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 52. Fernandes M. 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 86. Mora R. 7. William Gomes 9. Samu 17. Sainz B.
Substitutes
80. Adu P. 4. Chalupa J. 24. Havel M. 34. Kubin P. 33. Novak A. 20. Panos J. 15. Silhavy M. (G) 12. Suchy D. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 85. Zeljkovic A.	73. Bras G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 24. Costa J. (G) 6. Eustaquio S. 27. Gul D. 72. Miranda A. 74. Moura F. 11. Pepê 21. Prpic D. 22. Varela A. 10. Veiga G. 12. Zaidu
Coaches
Hysky M.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cerv L. ⚽, Valenta M. (A),
14', Doski M. 🟨,
34', Kabongo C. ↓, Adu P. ↑,
45+4', Vydra M. 🟥,
45+5', Samu (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sainz B. ↓, Pepê ↑,
56', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
56', Costa A. ↓, Moura F. ↑,
60', Visinsky D. ↓, Havel M. ↑,
70', Bednarek J. 🟨,
71', William Gomes ↓, Gul D. ↑,
71', Fernandes M. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
72', Adu P. 🟨,
74', Rosario P. 🟨,
83', Ladra T. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
85', Kiwior J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Gul D. ⚽, Kiwior J. (A),

Preview

Plzeň is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Porto is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Porto is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Dweh S. (Yellow Cards) Hejda L. (Inactive) Hrosovsky P. (Inactive) Jemelka V. (Red Card) Kadlec A. (Inactive) Kopic J. (Knee Injury) Krcik D. (Inactive) Paluska J. (Surgery) Sloncik T. (Inactive) Sojka A. (Inactive) Tapaj D. (Inactive) Vasulin D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Perez T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pietuszewski O. (Inactive) Thiago Silva (Inactive) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
33	Plzen	3	0	0	3	2:7	-5	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Plzen: 0.55%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - SønderjyskE	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Lugano - Viktoria Plzeň	2:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.12.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Porto - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.01.26	Santa Clara - Porto	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Porto - AVS	2:0 ✺
22.12.25	Alverca - Porto	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

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