Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 8
Germany	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN Connect
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Red Bull Salzburg		Basel

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.8	2.8
	2.25	3.8	2.87
	2.22	3.8	3.1
	2.09	3.75	2.99
	2.06	4.01	3.21	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.8
	2.29	3.97	2.93
	2.22	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.35)	3.81 ↓ (3.85)	2.96 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
43.1%

Draw
24.9%

Basel
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

24.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

25.2%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.5%	16.2%	24.3%

Red Bull Salzburg - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). Basel will win (votes: 9 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 45.2% – 77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Basel (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Salzburg (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 7 - 70%). Basel (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schlager A. (G) 37. Trummer T. 23. Gadou J. 44. Schuster J. 13. Kratzig F. 8. Kitano S. 5. Diabate S. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 20. Baidoo E. 11. Vertessen Y. 27. Alajbegovic K.	1. Hitz M. (G) 3. Vouilloz N. 32. Adjetey J. 24. Daniliuc F. 31. Schmid D. 14. Bacanin A. 22. Leroy L. 9. Agbonifo J. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 11. Traore B. 46. Kaio Eduardo
Substitutes
43. Aguilar E. 7. Bischoff C. 15. Diambou M. 14. Kjaergaard M. 19. Konate K. 22. Lainer S. 25. Lukic O. 9. Onisiwo K. 2. Rasmussen J. 3. Terzic A. 49. Yeo M. K. 52. Zawieschitzky C. (G)	23. Ajeti Al. 43. Akahomen M. 29. Cisse M. 39. Junior Ze 28. Kacuri D. 8. Koindredi K. 7. Otele P. 47. Pfeiffer T. (G) 40. Rexhaj A. 27. Ruegg K. 13. Salvi M. (G) 19. Soticek M.
Coaches
Letsch T.	Magnin L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Alajbegovic K. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Alajbegovic K. ⚽, Diabate S. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Kratzig F. ⚽,
37', Agbonifo J. 🟨,
40', Bacanin A. 🟨,
45', Kitano S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shaqiri X. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
46', Leroy L. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
46', Traore B. ↓, Kacuri D. ↑,
50', Vouilloz N. 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Agbonifo J. ⚽,
58', Vertessen Y. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
72', Kaio Eduardo ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
76', Kitano S. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
90', Schmid D. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
90+1', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
90+1', Baidoo E. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
90+1', Bidstrup M. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,

Preview

Salzburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Basel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Lainer S. (Foot Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Basel: Broschinski M. (Knee Injury) Metinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Basel: Otele P. (Inactive) Tsunemoto K. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Salzburg: 1.2%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.12.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
06.12.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
18.01.26	Basel - Sion	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Slavia Prague - Basel	3:4 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.12.25	Basel - Servette	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Luzern - Basel	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Basel - Lausanne-Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.03.14	Red Bull Salzburg - Basel	1:2
13.03.14	Basel - Red Bull Salzburg	0:0

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