Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday


	Basel II		Étoile Carouge

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.8	1.58
	4.5	4	1.6
	4.59	4.09	1.54
	4.94	4.14	1.59
	4.84	4.1	1.55
	4.5	3.9	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.44)	4.01 ↓ (4.03)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel II
19.6%

Draw
22.7%

Étoile Carouge
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

22.7%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.2%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Basel II - Étoile Carouge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pfeiffer T. (G) 2. Pastoret M. 4. Klose T. (C) 5. Adjetey J. 3. Akahomen M. 6. Pepsi G. 7. Beney R. 8. Xhemalija D. 10. Onyegbule A. 11. Akale A. 9. Kayombo A.	1. Antonio S. (G) 6. El Jaouhari M. 27. Munishi H. 10. Caslei B. 14. Hysenaj F. 17. Vieira M. 28. Henchoz N. 12. Adeagbo E. 80. Oberli B. 4. Magnin M. (C) 25. Felder V.
Substitutes
12. Dundas N. 14. Frokaj L. 16. Ismaili E. 15. Senaya E. 18. Spagnoli A. (G) 17. Streit N. 13. Vogel H.	9. Eleouet A. 26. Emulovs E. (G) 21. Fernandez R. 24. Kursner R. 5. Mulliqi B. 20. Nvendo Ferrier V. 22. Rufli V.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basel II won 0.

Basel II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Étoile is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Étoile is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Basel II won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Basel II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
25.11.23	Breitenrain Bern - Basel II	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Basel II - Kriens	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Biel-Bienne - Basel II	5:1 ✺
04.11.23	Basel II - Lugano II	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Brühl - Basel II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL
- Étoile Carouge
Club Friendly
27.01.24	Étoile Carouge - Servette U21	Canceled ✺
20.01.24	Étoile Carouge - Chênois	4:2 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
25.11.23	Paradiso - Étoile Carouge	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Étoile Carouge - Rapperswil-Jona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
07.05.23	Basel II - Étoile Carouge	1:1
29.10.22	Étoile Carouge - Basel II	4:1
20.04.22	Basel II - Étoile Carouge	1:1
09.10.21	Étoile Carouge - Basel II	2:1
08.05.21	Étoile Carouge - Basel II	4:4
31.08.19	Basel II - Étoile Carouge	1:3
14.05.16	Étoile Carouge - Basel II	2:2

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