Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Matlock Town		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	1.97	3.6	3.2
	1.98	3.67	3.25
	2.02	3.71	3.34
	2	3.6	3
	1.96	3.52	3.28
	1.97	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.37)	3.6 ↓ (3.69)	3.18 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
46%

Draw
25.3%

Hebburn Town
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

24.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.1%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matlock Town's performance.

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hebburn Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matlock Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hebburn Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matlock Town - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Matlock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.02.25	Warrington Rylands - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Matlock Town - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
21.01.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Workington - Matlock Town	4:2 ✺
14.01.25	Matlock Town - Prescot Cables	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLW
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.02.25	Hebburn Town - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Lancaster City - Hebburn Town	2:2 ✺
14.01.25	Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Warrington Rylands - Hebburn Town	2:2 ✺
01.01.25	Hebburn Town - Workington	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.10.24	Hebburn Town - Matlock Town	0:2

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