Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Basford United		South Shields

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.62
	4.4	3.55	1.66
	4.71	3.53	1.76
	4	4	1.62
	4.55	3.56	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (4.04)	3.69 ↓ (4)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
20.9%

Draw
24.7%

South Shields
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

22.5%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

18.6%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Shields could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basford United - South Shields Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Basford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches South Shields is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

South Shields could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match South Shields is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Basford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
05.03.22	Radcliffe - Basford United	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Hyde United - Basford United	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Basford United - Ashton United	0:0 ✺
08.02.22	Buxton - Basford United	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Basford United - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLL
- South Shields FC
English NPL Premier Division
05.03.22	Stafford Rangers - South Shields	1:1 ✺
01.03.22	Ashton United - South Shields	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	South Shields - Nantwich Town	4:2 ✺
22.02.22	South Shields - Matlock Town	3:1 ✺
15.02.22	Mickleover Sports - South Shields	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.10.21	South Shields - Basford United	0:1
21.09.19	South Shields - Basford United	2:0
13.04.19	South Shields - Basford United	1:1
12.01.19	Basford United - South Shields	0:3

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