Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Radcliffe		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7.25
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.3	6.88	6.08
	1.3	6.88	6.08
	1.33	4.6	6
	1.31	5.22	7.95
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	5.51 ↑ (5.5)	6.91 ↑ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
70.1%

Draw
16.6%

Basford United
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

16.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

15.7%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Hulme J. ⚽,
90+10', 1 - 1, Mancinelli P. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 18).

Radcliffe is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League North

Last 5 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 4.

Radcliffe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Basford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Radcliffe is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Radcliffe to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Radcliffe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
13.04.24	Whitby Town - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	4:0 ✺
01.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Radcliffe - Ashton United	2:5 ✺
19.03.24	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW
- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
13.04.24	Basford United - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Basford United	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Basford United - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Atherton Collieries - Basford United	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	United of Manchester - Basford United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.01.24	Basford United - Radcliffe	1:3
05.03.22	Radcliffe - Basford United	3:0
23.10.21	Basford United - Radcliffe	1:2
10.10.20	Radcliffe - Basford United	0:3
23.11.19	Radcliffe - Basford United	3:0
31.08.19	Basford United - Radcliffe	1:0

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