Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Tamworth		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	6.5
	1.37	4.3	5.4
	1.37	4.5	6.2
	1.39	4.88	6.44
	1.36	4.7	6.8
	1.36	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)	4.58 ↑ (4.05)	6.31 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
65.9%

Draw
19.7%

Hednesford Town
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Tamworth - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Tamworth is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Hungerford Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
07.01.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
02.01.23	Tamworth - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
26.12.22	Stratford Town - Tamworth	0:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Tamworth - Leamington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWW
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.23	Hednesford Town - St Ives Town	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Bedford Town - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
02.01.23	Hednesford Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	Redditch United - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.10.22	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	0:1
18.04.22	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	2:3
08.03.22	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	3:3
01.01.20	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	0:3
26.08.19	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	0:1
English FA Cup
08.09.18	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	2:0
Club Friendly
25.07.17	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	0:1

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