Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Leek Town		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.25	2.12
	3.12	3.74	2.08	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2
	3.13	4.07	1.98
	3.1	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.96)	3.64 ↑ (3.52)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leek Town
30%

Draw
25.1%

United of Manchester
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.4%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.4%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-1%)

Leek Town - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Thomson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Leek has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, United of Manchester has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leek has had a series of away games.

United of Manchester could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Leek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Leek	11	2	4	5	22:23	-1	10
22	FC United	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

United of Manchester - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.26	Warrington Town - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Leek Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Rushall Olympic - Leek Town	5:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southport - Leek Town	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
06.12.25	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.26	United of Manchester - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Hednesford Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Halifax Town - United of Manchester	4:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.08.25	United of Manchester - Leek Town	2:0
09.11.24	Leek Town - United of Manchester	1:2

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