Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 13

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Stockton Town		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.40	2.95
	2.11	3.65	2.91
	2.1	3.79	3.03	Watch
	2.08	3.60	2.85
	2.04	3.45	3.04
	2.05	3.55	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 (2.07)	3.57 ↓ (3.76)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
43.9%

Draw
25.4%

United of Manchester
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Stockton Town - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Sudworth A. ⚽,
45', Thompson S. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, Scott J. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Le Fondre A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Nicholson A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 16th and 22nd in the Relegation).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Stockton Town could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Stockton Town is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Stockton Town has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stockton Town against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Stockton	15	3	3	9	18:28	-10	12
22	FC United	12	1	4	7	15:23	-8	7

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Stockton: 0.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Stockton Town - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

United of Manchester - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.45%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
06.10.26	Stockton Town - Bury	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Hyde United - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Stockton Town - Bamber Bridge	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Stockton Town - Redcar Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWTL
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
06.10.26	Alfreton Town - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Worksop Town - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Hyde United - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	United of Manchester - Ossett United	4:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	United of Manchester - Warrington Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.04.26	United of Manchester - Stockton Town	2:3
07.03.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:3
29.03.25	United of Manchester - Stockton Town	0:1
23.11.24	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	1:0

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