The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dunkerque 44.5%
Draw 30.6%
Bastia 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
26.7%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
25.7%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
4.2%
4.2%
Dunkerque - Bastia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Dunkerque (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dunkerque will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dunkerque will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 9 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 4. Lagae B. 22. Mayela V. 2. Georgen A. 77. Zossou A. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 69. Bokele Mputu M. 9. Robinet T.
30. Placide J. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 4. Roncaglia A. (C) 28. Akueson G. 3. Guevara J. 5. Ariss Z. 29. Merghem M. 13. Ducrocq T. 17. Eickmayer J. 10. Boutrah A. 9. Tomi F.
Substitutes
11. Daho A. 6. Diong P. 15. Doucet L. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 42. Makhloufi M. 7. Sylvestre E.
15. Bohnert F. 66. Janneh J. 8. Karamoko I. 1. Olmeta L. (G) 14. Sebas J. 7. Vincent C. 18. Zaouai A.
Coaches
Sanchez A.
Ray R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Roncaglia A. ⚽, Boutrah A. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Linguet A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Guevara J. 🟨,
66', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
78', Zossou A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
78', Sekongo A. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
78', Merghem M. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
79', Eickmayer J. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
84', Tomi F. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
84', Boutrah A. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
90', Lagae B. ↓, Makhloufi M. ↑,
90', Linguet A. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
90+3', Kante A. 🟨,
90+4', Sanchez A. 🟨,
90+5', Diong P. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Dunkerque is the team to beat.
There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sasso V.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Bastia: Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Guidi D.
(Inactive)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Dunkerque: Sekongo A.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).