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Current Win Probability
Bastia 43.2%
Draw 30.5%
Nancy 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
31%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
30%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
8.3%
16.7%
Bastia - Nancy Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Nancy will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 50.5% โ 99.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 28. Akueson G. 5. Ariss Z. 3. Guevara J. 10. Boutrah A. 13. Ducrocq T. 7. Vincent C. (C) 9. Tomi F. 17. Eickmayer J. 14. Sebas J.
1. Basilio E. (G) 44. Tacafred E. 17. Carlier M. (C) 21. Mendy E. 23. Bamba R. 25. Gelin J. 6. Bouriaud T. 3. Bourgault J. 77. Nahounou Y. 8. Bouabdelli W. 7. Fdaouch Z.
Substitutes
25. Aiki A. 2. Basset D. 35. Beliandjou R. 66. Janneh J. 1. Olmeta L. (G) 33. Petrignani M. 18. Zaouai A.
18. Barbier H. 10. Dabasse A. 22. Evans J. 4. Fernandez N. 30. Lembet G. (G) 27. Maouassa F. 9. Sissoko N.
Coaches
Ray R.
Correa P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Gelin J. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
54', Bouriaud T. 🟨,
57', Bohnert F. 🟨,
63', Bamba R. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
66', Ariss Z. 🟨,
68', Nahounou Y. 🟨,
73', Eickmayer J. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
73', Vincent C. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
78', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
78', Bouriaud T. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
78', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
80', Zaouai A. 🟨,
87', Guevara J. ↓, Beliandjou R. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bastia: Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Beltaief Z.
(Inactive)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Meynadier T.
(Yellow Cards)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Roncaglia A.
(Red Card)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Nancy: Bokangu B.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Maouassa F.
(Injury)
Saint-Ruf N.
(Inactive)
Sidibe O.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bastia: Ducrocq T.
(Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).