Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: El Hadj H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bastia		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.33
	1.86	3.15	4.6
	1.85	3.2	4.3
	1.88	3.34	4.86
	1.85	3.1	4.6
	1.9	3.34	4.33	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.96)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	4.49 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
50.1%

Draw
29%

Nîmes
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Bastia - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Bastia has the most likely position - 8 (12.83%), has project points - 55, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (20.88%), has project points - 38, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, small importance 26, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Bastia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nîmes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bastia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Rodez - Bastia	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Bastia - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Bastia - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
03.02.23	Caen - Bastia	3:1 ✺
31.01.23	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLW
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Metz - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Rodez - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Nîmes - Grenoble	0:2 ✺
31.01.23	Guingamp - Nîmes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.09.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:0
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:1
French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:2
24.07.21	Bastia - Nîmes	1:1

Bastia - Nîmes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide