Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Metz		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.75
	1.57	3.75	5.75
	1.58	3.98	6.56
	1.55	3.5	6.5
	1.56	3.94	6.15	Watch
	1.57	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)	3.82 ↑ (3.68)	6.07 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
59.9%

Draw
24.6%

Nîmes
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.2%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

25.2%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

Metz - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Metz has the most likely position - 3 (20.09%), has project points - 62, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 20 (21.13%), has project points - 39, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 49, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Metz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
18.02.23	Dijon - Metz	0:0 ✺
13.02.23	Metz - Caen	0:0 ✺
06.02.23	Amiens - Metz	0:2 ✺
31.01.23	Metz - Rodez	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Valenciennes - Metz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWTT
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
20.02.23	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Rodez - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Nîmes - Grenoble	0:2 ✺
31.01.23	Guingamp - Nîmes	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Nîmes - Niort	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.01.23	Nîmes - Metz	1:4
French Ligue 1
09.05.21	Metz - Nîmes	0:3
01.11.20	Nîmes - Metz	0:1
07.03.20	Metz - Nîmes	2:1
30.11.19	Nîmes - Metz	1:1
French Ligue 2
22.02.16	Nîmes - Metz	2:1
25.09.15	Metz - Nîmes	1:2

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