Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Antoniotti (Borgo)


	Bastia-Borgo		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.3	3.35	1.71
	4.4	3.45	1.75
	5.39	3.4	1.76
	4.8	3.2	1.7
	4.9	3.3	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.63)	3.36 ↑ (3.11)	1.73 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia-Borgo
19.8%

Draw
27.3%

Châteauroux
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

28%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia-Borgo's form might have worsened.

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Châteauroux's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Châteauroux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Bastia Borgo - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Châteauroux will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Bastia-Borgo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Châteauroux is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Châteauroux is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bastia-Borgo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia-Borgo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
12.10.22	Cholet - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
30.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Versailles	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	Nancy - Bastia-Borgo	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Concarneau	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
12.10.22	Châteauroux - Nancy	3:1 ✺
03.10.22	Concarneau - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
26.09.22	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Orleans - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Châteauroux - Bourg-Péronnas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
06.05.22	Châteauroux - Bastia-Borgo	0:0
07.01.22	Bastia-Borgo - Châteauroux	2:0

Bastia-Borgo - Châteauroux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide