Match Info

National - Round 11

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Concarneau		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.55
	1.98	3.36	4.13
	2.07	3.34	3.21	Watch
	1.94	3.37	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.06)	3.32 ↓ (3.35)	3.69 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
46.6%

Draw
28.1%

Châteauroux
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Concarneau - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Patron P. (G) 26. Sinquin T. 4. Jannez G. (C) 25. Seydi A. 27. Halby J. 8. Picouleau M. 10. Gbelle G. 5. Etcheverria B. 11. Soukouna Y. 9. Tell J. 7. Samoura A.	16. Lavallee L. (G) 12. Koembo J. 17. Magassa B. 6. Kelo G. 21. El Hriti A. (C) 5. Tamba M'Pinda R. 8. Dembele S. 25. Noc M. 10. Freitas R. 22. Trinker T. 19. Piquionne L.
Substitutes
30. Boulais R. (G) 21. El Khemiri Y. 3. Inquel S. 14. Mercier N. 6. Seba D.	15. Bena Q. 4. Diarra D. 24. Goncalves A. 14. Verdier Y. 29. Zakouani H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Sinquin T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Etcheverria B. 🟨,
59', Seydi A. 🟨,
63', Gbelle G. ↓, Mercier N. ↑,
63', Samoura A. ↓, El Khemiri Y. ↑,
71', Seydi A. ↓, Seba D. ↑,
71', Piquionne L. ↓, Zakouani H. ↑,
80', Freitas R. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
87', El Hriti A. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
88', Noc M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Châteauroux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Concarneau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Concarneau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Châteauroux - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.03%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
17.10.25	Valenciennes - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Concarneau - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Dijon - Concarneau	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Concarneau - Fleury 91	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Versailles - Concarneau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLLL
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Villefranche - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Châteauroux - Caen	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Châteauroux - Stade Briochin	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Rouen FC - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
07.03.25	Châteauroux - Concarneau	1:0
04.10.24	Concarneau - Châteauroux	3:1
10.03.23	Châteauroux - Concarneau	4:2
03.10.22	Concarneau - Châteauroux	2:0
21.03.22	Concarneau - Châteauroux	0:0
08.10.21	Châteauroux - Concarneau	0:2
22.04.17	Châteauroux - Concarneau	2:0

Concarneau - Châteauroux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide