Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Antoniotti (Borgo)


	Bastia-Borgo		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.6	3.55	1.81
	3.55	3.5	1.92
	4.2	3.55	1.9
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.96	3.54	1.81	Watch
	3.5	3.45	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.94)	3.43 ↑ (3.03)	1.9 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia-Borgo
25.1%

Draw
26.7%

Villefranche
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29.6%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia-Borgo's form might have worsened.

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villefranche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia-Borgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villefranche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	45.5%	45.5%

Bastia Borgo - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Villefranche will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villefranche: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Villefranche will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia-Borgo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia-Borgo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
04.11.22	Stade Briochin - Bastia-Borgo	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Nîmes - Bastia-Borgo	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Bastia-Borgo - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	Cholet - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
30.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Versailles	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWLT
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
07.11.22	Villefranche - Nancy	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
01.11.22	Tarentaise - Villefranche	0:5 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Concarneau - Villefranche	4:1 ✺
12.10.22	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
30.09.22	Orleans - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
25.03.22	Bastia-Borgo - Villefranche	1:3
22.10.21	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	1:1
19.03.21	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	1:0
13.10.20	Bastia-Borgo - Villefranche	0:1
13.12.19	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	4:1

Bastia-Borgo - Villefranche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide