Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stade Armand Chouffet (Villefranche-sur-Saône)


	Villefranche		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.18	2.95	3.2
	2.23	3.05	3.2
	2.31	3.06	3.5
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.19	3.13	3.22	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.02 ↑ (3)	3.2 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villefranche
41.1%

Draw
30.3%

Dunkerque
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

30.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Villefranche - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Villefranche will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Villefranche will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villefranche won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villefranche won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
30.09.22	Orleans - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Villefranche - Bourg-Péronnas	3:2 ✺
16.09.22	Le Puy - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Villefranche - Martigues	1:1 ✺
02.09.22	Avranches - Villefranche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTTL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
30.09.22	Dunkerque - Stade Briochin	1:0 ✺
26.09.22	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Dunkerque - Cholet	3:0 ✺
09.09.22	Versailles - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
02.09.22	Dunkerque - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
06.03.20	Dunkerque - Villefranche	1:1
27.09.19	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:0
09.02.19	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:1
31.08.18	Dunkerque - Villefranche	1:1

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