Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.3
	1.88	3.75	3.55
	1.86	3.88	3.58
	1.83	3.93	3.78	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.6
	1.81	3.84	3.72
	1.88	3.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)	3.58 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
49.9%

Draw
24.4%

Chertsey Town
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

23.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Bath City - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
54', 1 - 0, Batten J. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Knight O. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Batten J. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Little T. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Mazzone J. ⚽,

Preview

Bath has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chertsey is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bath could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bath is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
09.11.24	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
05.11.24	Slough Town - Bath City	3:0 ✺
29.10.24	Bath City - Worthing	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	St Albans City - Bath City	3:2 ✺
22.10.24	Bath City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
12.11.24	Chertsey Town - Basingstoke Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Chertsey Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:4 ✺
02.11.24	Wimborne Town - Chertsey Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Uxbridge - Chertsey Town	0:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Chertsey Town - Sholing	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWW

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