Match Info

National League South - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.4	2.88
	2.16	3.39	3.26
	2.14	3.48	3.16	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.12	3.28	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.39)	3.36 ↓ (3.59)	3.1 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
42.8%

Draw
27.5%

Bath City
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.1%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bath City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastbourne Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bath City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eastbourne Borough - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Jebb J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Laqeretabua J. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Fisher A. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Armitage W. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 1.

Recent form of Eastbourne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bath has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastbourne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Eastbourne Borough - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.84%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Bath City - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.3%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
21.03.26	Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Eastbourne Borough - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Eastbourne Borough - Ebbsfleet United	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Bath City
English National League South
24.03.26	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Tonbridge Angels - Bath City	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Horsham - Bath City	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bath City - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Bath City - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.08.25	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
01.03.25	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	0:0
23.11.24	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	1:0
03.02.24	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	1:0
19.08.23	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	1:2
07.01.23	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
13.08.22	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	3:4

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