Match Info

National League South - Round 35

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Bath City		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.4
	2.84	3.21	2.46	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	2.87	3	2.4
	2.88	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.35)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.38 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
31.7%

Draw
30%

Weston-super-Mare
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

29%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28.3%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Bath City - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', Robesten G. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 1.

Bath is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Weston-super-Mare has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Weston-super-Mare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bath won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.22%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
21.02.26	Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:4 ✺
17.02.26	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Bath City	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bath City - Worthing	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Dover Athletic - Bath City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLWL
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
21.02.26	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Slough Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	2:1
08.03.25	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	0:0
09.11.24	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	0:2
23.01.24	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	0:1
15.08.23	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	2:6
29.12.18	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	0:2
English FA Cup
20.10.18	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	1:0

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