Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 32

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Farnborough		Dartford

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	1.95	3.6	3.5
	2.02	3.45	3.17
	1.9	3.65	3.86
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	1.89	3.65	3.65
	2	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 (1.96)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	3.38 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
46.9%

Draw
26%

Dartford
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-1%)

Farnborough - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 18).

Farnborough is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dartford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dartford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Farnborough have a series of guest games.

Farnborough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
27.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
23.01.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Farnborough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:4 ✺
26.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Dartford
English National League South
27.01.24	Dartford - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
09.01.24	Maidstone United - Dartford	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dartford	2:2 ✺
30.12.23	Dartford - Welling United	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Welling United - Dartford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.08.23	Dartford - Farnborough	1:1
11.03.23	Dartford - Farnborough	3:1
12.11.22	Farnborough - Dartford	3:1
10.03.12	Dartford - Farnborough	N/A

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