The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bath City 62.8%
Draw 21.2%
Gosport Borough 16%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.1%
23.7%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
23.1%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bath City's performance.
Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gosport Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bath City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gosport Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bath City - Gosport Borough Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Bowman M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Bodin B. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Campbell K. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Bath could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bath carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Bath has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:19 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bath against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).
Watch
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