Match Info

Date: 25 February 2021, Thursday


	Bayer Leverkusen		Young Boys

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.6	5
	1.6	4.4	5
	1.62	4.65	4.85
	1.59	4.3	4.7
	1.61	4.69	4.88
	1.57	4.33	5.25
	1.64	4.75	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	4.53 ↑ (4.38)	4.94 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
59.6%

Draw
21.1%

Young Boys
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

21.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

12.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Young Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.1%	3.8%	8.2%

Bayer Leverkusen - Young Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (140 of 159 users predict this - 88.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.01% – 93.09%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 3-4.

Bayer was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (59%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Young Boys was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (41%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Bayer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Young Boys is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Young Boys have a series of home games.

In this match Bayer is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bayer won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
21.02.21	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.02.21	Young Boys - Bayer Leverkusen	4:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
13.02.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz	2:2 ✺
06.02.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	5:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.02.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLTWL
- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
21.02.21	Young Boys - Servette	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.02.21	Young Boys - Bayer Leverkusen	4:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
14.02.21	Lugano - Young Boys	1:3 ✺
10.02.21	Young Boys - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Young Boys - Lausanne-Sport	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
18.02.21	Young Boys - Bayer Leverkusen	4:3
Club Friendly
10.01.14	Bayer Leverkusen - Young Boys	2:2

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