What is the expert prediction for Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

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Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, December 06, 2025)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Brazil	Caze TV, SporTV
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Augsburg		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.18	Watch
	3.52	3.6	2.19
	3.32	3.71	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.35	3.71	2.17	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.77)	3.55 ↓ (3.94)	2.13 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
28.4%

Draw
26.8%

Bayer Leverkusen
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

24.1%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

23.7%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayer Leverkusen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.1%	7.4%	73.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 13 - 19.1%). Bayer will win (votes: 50 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 63% – 84%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Bayer (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Bayer (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Bayer (votes: 18 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (C) 40. Banks N. 5. Matsima C. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 19. Fellhauer R. 17. Jakic K. 4. Massengo H. 13. Giannoulis D. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 30. Kade A.	1. Flekken M. (G) 8. Andrich R. (C) 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 7. Hofmann J. 30. Maza I. 24. Garcia A. 19. Poku E. 11. Terrier M. 10. Tillman M. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
9. Essende S. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 3. Pedersen M. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 21. Tietz P. 27. Wolf M. 16. Zesiger C.	13. Arthur 44. Belocian J. 17. Ben Seghir E. 9. Echeverri C. 35. Kofane C. M. 36. Lomb N. (G) 4. Quansah J. 18. Sarco A. 23. Tella N.
Coaches
Baum M.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Giannoulis D. ⚽, Schlotterbeck K. (A),
10', Banks N. 🟨,
17', Kade A. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Kade A. ⚽, Giannoulis D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bade L. ↓, Quansah J. ↑,
46', Terrier M. ↓, Kofane C. M. ↑,
57', Giannoulis D. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
57', Rieder F. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
61', Maza I. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
61', Hofmann J. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
70', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
71', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
77', Jakic K. 🟨,
77', Tella N. 🟨,
78', Quansah J. 🟨,
81', Tillman M. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
89', Kade A. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
90+3', Essende S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1.

Recent form of Augsburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gharbi I. (International duty) Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Fernandez E. (Knee Injury) Lucas (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Bayer: Arthur (Back Injury) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).

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Last Results with these Odds

Augsburg - the odds 3.77 are the expected chance of winning is 25.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Manchester City - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
26.04.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	2:0
14.12.24	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2
18.05.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	2:1
13.01.24	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1
03.02.23	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0
13.08.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2
22.01.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	5:1

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