The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 46%
Draw 25.8%
Sandhausen 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
24.9%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
22.8%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Erzgebirge Aue - Sandhausen Predictions
Users Predictions:
Erzgebirge Aue will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzgebirge Aue will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Kips T. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 19. Hoffmann T. 13. Majetschak E. 29. Rosenlocher L. 10. Pepic M. 20. Fabisch J. 34. Stefaniak M. (C) 30. Loune A. 7. Seitz S. 14. Tashchy B.
1. Rehnen N. (G) 16. Kreuzer N. 2. Girdvainis E. 14. Lewald J. (C) 31. Weik J. 6. Lorch J. 3. Ehlich C. 36. Stolze S. 11. Halimi B. 7. Fehler S. 17. Otto D.
Substitutes
26. Jakob K. 18. Kallenbach W. 1. Mannel M. (G) 24. Nkansah S. 37. Seidel P. 11. Sijaric O. 36. Uhlig M. (G) 4. Vukancic N.
28. Baumann D. 10. Butler J. 13. Iwe E. 23. Lang N. 37. Lokaj D. . Outman Y. 18. Richter D. (G) 20. Simnica L. 19 . Zander L.
Coaches
Hartel J.
Kleppinger G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Halimi B. ⚽,
15', Lewald J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
62', 1 - 1, Tashchy B. ⚽, Loune A. (A),
64', Seitz S. ↓, Sijaric O. ↑,
64', Fehler S. ↓, Outman Y. ↑,
64', Stolze S. ↓, Baumann D. ↑,
72', Ehlich C. ↓, Zander L. ↑,
73', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Jakob K. ↑,
73', Loune A. ↓, Nkansah S. ↑,
74', Outman Y. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Zander L. ⚽, Kreuzer N. (A),
79', Kreuzer N. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
79', Halimi B. ↓, Lokaj D. ↑,
82', Hoffmann T. ↓, Vukancic N. ↑,
83', Fabisch J. ↓, Kallenbach W. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Stefaniak M. (Pen),
90+1', 2 - 3, Baumann D. ⚽, Zander L. (A),
90+4', Rehnen N. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Sandhausen is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
In recent matches, Aue has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sandhausen has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Aue could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Aue: Bar M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Bornschein R.
(Illness)
Burghardt M.
(Knee Injury)
Jakob K.
(Muscle Injury)
Ozkan C.
(Knee Injury)
Schmid M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Sandhausen: Butler J.
(Illness)
Carls J.
(Ankle Injury)
Duman T.
(Muscle Injury)
Ehrlich L.
(Illness)
Fuchs A.
(Muscle Injury)
Greil P.
(Illness)
Konigsmann T.
(Knee Injury)
Meier R.
(Knee Injury)
Schikora M.
(Yellow Cards)
Wolf L. M.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aue won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).