Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 29

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Hansch-Arena (Meppen)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Meppen		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.38
	2.95	3.3	2.3
	2.9	3.4	2.25
	2.65	3.35	2.35
	2.89	3.55	2.47
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	2.79	3.45	2.34	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.65)	3.35 ↑ (3.35)	2.34 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meppen
33.1%

Draw
27.5%

Erzgebirge Aue
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Meppen - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Meppen will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Aue will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Meppen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aue is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Meppen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Meppen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Meppen
German 3 Bundesliga
17.03.23	Viktoria Köln - Meppen	3:1 ✺
14.03.23	Meppen - Verl	1:3 ✺
11.03.23	Elversberg - Meppen	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Meppen - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Duisburg - Meppen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTLT
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
18.03.23	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	1:3 ✺
14.03.23	Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Meppen	3:0

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