Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Bayreuth		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.88
	2.2	3.5	2.95
	2.2	3.4	2.95
	2.25	3.3	2.95
	2.26	3.64	3.15
	2.2	3.25	2.88
	2.16	3.6	2.99	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)	3.42 ↑ (3.28)	2.95 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
41.8%

Draw
26.9%

Oldenburg
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Bayreuth - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bayreuth will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Bayreuth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oldenburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayreuth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.23	Saarbrücken - Bayreuth	5:0 ✺
11.03.23	Bayreuth - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3 ✺
05.03.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Bayreuth - Zwickau	5:3 ✺
18.02.23	Osnabrück - Bayreuth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLLWW
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.23	Oldenburg - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Osnabrück - Oldenburg	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Oldenburg - Duisburg	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Verl - Oldenburg	2:1 ✺
20.02.23	Oldenburg - Hallescher	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Oldenburg - Bayreuth	1:1

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