Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Saarbrücken		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6.5
	1.43	4.75	6.5
	1.43	4.6	5.8
	1.4	4.8	6.4
	1.45	5.13	6.45
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.41	4.75	6.45	Watch
	1.38	4.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)	4.7 ↑ (3.82)	6.41 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
65.8%

Draw
19.7%

Bayreuth
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

23%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saarbrücken's performance.

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saarbrücken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Saarbrücken - Bayreuth Predictions

Users Predictions: Saarbrücken will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Saarbrücken could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saarbrücken is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
12.03.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Saarbrücken - Osnabrück	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	3:4 ✺
11.02.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLW
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
11.03.23	Bayreuth - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3 ✺
05.03.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Bayreuth - Zwickau	5:3 ✺
18.02.23	Osnabrück - Bayreuth	2:3 ✺
12.02.23	Bayreuth - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.09.22	Bayreuth - Saarbrücken	0:6

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