Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Bayreuth		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.8
	3.8	3.7	1.85
	3.8	3.5	1.85
	3.75	3.75	1.85
	4.23	3.9	1.84
	3.7	3.5	1.8
	3.86	3.86	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.17)	3.71 ↑ (3.5)	1.83 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
24.1%

Draw
25.1%

Saarbrücken
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25.7%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saarbrücken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	38.1%	52.4%

Bayreuth - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bayreuth will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saarbrücken: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Bayreuth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saarbrücken is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saarbrücken will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
03.09.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Bayreuth	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Bayreuth - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Bayreuth - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
10.08.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayreuth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWL
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
05.09.22	Saarbrücken - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
27.08.22	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
20.08.22	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
13.08.22	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
10.08.22	Saarbrücken - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTTW

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