Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Bayreuth		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.25
	2.95	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.7	2.18
	2.95	3.4	2.25
	2.95	3.88	2.29
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.94	3.6	2.21	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.47)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	2.24 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
32.1%

Draw
26.4%

Verl
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayreuth's form might have worsened.

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	46.7%	33.3%

Bayreuth - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bayreuth will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Verl will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Bayreuth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Verl is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Verl have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.22	Meppen - Bayreuth	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Bayreuth - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Oldenburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Bayreuth - Saarbrücken	0:6 ✺
03.09.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Bayreuth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLL
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
07.10.22	Verl - Viktoria Köln	2:2 ✺
01.10.22	Elversberg - Verl	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Verl - Lippstadt 08	2:0 ✺
21.09.22	Verl - Wiedenbrück	0:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
18.09.22	Verl - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWLW

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