Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Elversberg		Verl

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.5
	1.46	4.5	6
	1.46	4.3	5.6
	1.45	4.6	5.8
	1.51	4.74	6.4
	1.42	4.2	6
	1.43	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.58)	4.51 ↑ (3.94)	5.92 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
63.7%

Draw
20.6%

Verl
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

22.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Elversberg - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Verl will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Elversberg in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Verl is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Verl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Verl have a series of home games.

In this match Elversberg is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Elversberg to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.22	Hallescher - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Elversberg - 1860 München	4:1 ✺
04.09.22	Meppen - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Elversberg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTWW
- SC Verl
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Verl - Lippstadt 08	2:0 ✺
21.09.22	Verl - Wiedenbrück	0:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
18.09.22	Verl - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Verl - Meppen	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Hallescher - Verl	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWTL

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