Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6
Greece	ANT 1+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	FOX Sports 3
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 10
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Bačka Topola		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.66	3.64	2.08
	3.54	3.64	1.97	Watch
	3.69	3.69	2.03
	3.4	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.92)	3.61 ↑ (3.6)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
26.8%

Draw
26.3%

Jagiellonia Białystok
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

26.1%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.3%	16.2%	59.5%

Bačka Topola - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Bačka Topola will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 22 - 59.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 43.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ilic V. (G) 25. Djordjevic M. 32. Degenek M. 31. Capan L. 60. Radojevic V. 7. Radin M. (C) 11. Milosavljevic I. 14. Stanic P. 22. Jovanovic S. 9. Lazetic M. 29. Mboungou V.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 72. Skrzypczak M. 23. Ebosse E. 44. Moutinho J. 20. Villar Miki 31. Flach L. 14. Kubicki J. 11. Imaz J. (C) 10. Pululu A. 21. Churlinov D.
Substitutes
23. Jorgic N. (G) 4. Krstic V. 27. Pantovic M. 6. Pejic A. 21. Savic D. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B. 16. Stancic A. 5. Stevanovic D. 35. Trajkovic D.	82. Costa Silva T. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 99. Hansen K. 29. Listkowski M. 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 6. Romanczuk T. 3. Stojinovic D. 1. Stryjek M. (G)
Coaches
Damjanovic J.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Mboungou V. ⚽, Stanic P. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Skrzypczak M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', Ebosse E. ↓, Stojinovic D. ↑,
70', Churlinov D. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
76', Lazetic M. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
78', Villar Miki ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
78', Flach L. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Pululu A. ⚽,
84', Jovanovic S. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
86', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Imaz J. ⚽,
90+2', Milosavljevic I. ↓, Pejic A. ↑,
90+4', Capan L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Jagiellonia is a favorite.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A. (Red Card) Sacek M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bačka Topola: Jovanovic S. (Foot Injury) Milosavljevic I. (Rest) Pantovic M. (Illness) Petrovic N. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
08.02.25	Mladost Lučani - Bačka Topola	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Bačka Topola - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
26.12.24	IMT Novi Beograd - Bačka Topola	0:2 ✺
23.12.24	OFK Beograd - Bačka Topola	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Bačka Topola - Noah Yerevan	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWTW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.25	Stal Mielec - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
12.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTTL

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