Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Beaconsfield Town		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.37
	2.24	4.48	2.49
	2.24	4.48	2.49
	2.36	3.74	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)	4.18 ↑ (3.69)	2.48 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beaconsfield Town
40.8%

Draw
22.1%

Plymouth Parkway
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beaconsfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Parkway's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 17).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Plymouth Parkway could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Beaconsfield have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Beaconsfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
20.04.24	Winchester City - Beaconsfield Town	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Beaconsfield Town - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Hendon - Beaconsfield Town	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
24.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Hayes & Yeading United	3:1 ✺
22.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Totton	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Walton & Hersham	2:2 ✺
18.04.24	Hanwell Town - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
16.04.24	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
30.01.24	Plymouth Parkway - Beaconsfield Town	0:1
31.01.23	Plymouth Parkway - Beaconsfield Town	1:1
13.08.22	Beaconsfield Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:1

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