Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Beasain		Sestao

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.98	2.08
	3.56	2.9	2.25
	4.69	3.30	1.73	Watch
	3.36	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (4.69)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.07 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
24.8%

Draw
30.3%

Sestao
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

27.7%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

27%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beasain's performance.

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beasain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beasain - Sestao Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sestao (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sestao (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Laka A. B. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Bengoetxea A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Beasain is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sestao is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sestao might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beasain won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Including home match between the teams, Beasain won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Utebo - Beasain	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Beasain - Basconia	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mutilvera - Beasain	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Beasain - Eibar B	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	UD Logroñés - Beasain	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLL
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Sestao - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Mutilvera - Sestao	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sestao - Ebro	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Sestao - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.04.23	Sestao - Beasain	2:0
17.12.22	Beasain - Sestao	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.11.20	Sestao - Beasain	0:2
27.10.19	Sestao - Beasain	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.01.18	Sestao - Beasain	1:0

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