Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 13

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Beasain		Vitoria

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	2.06	2.9	3.62
	2.25	2.86	3.22
	2.03	3.08	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.74)	2.91 ↓ (3.23)	3.49 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
43.1%

Draw
31%

Vitoria
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.9%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beasain's form might have worsened.

Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitoria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beasain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitoria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Beasain is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitoria is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Beasain is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Beasain to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Beasain won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Beasain won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
25.11.23	Pasaia - Beasain	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Beasain - Padura	4:2 ✺
11.11.23	Touring KE - Beasain	1:5 ✺
04.11.23	Beasain - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Beasain - Urduliz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTT
- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
25.11.23	Vitoria - Portugalete	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Derio - Vitoria	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Vitoria - Anaitasuna	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Vitoria - Basconia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.02.22	Vitoria - Beasain	0:2
01.02.20	Beasain - Vitoria	0:1

Beasain - Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide